Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.021869 0.023494 0.025185 0.027080 0.029146 0.031331 0.033822
2024-11-03 0.019174 0.021513 0.024076 0.027102 0.030588 0.034490 0.039207
2024-11-10 0.017547 0.020342 0.023526 0.027440 0.032147 0.037656 0.044637
2024-11-17 0.016002 0.019034 0.022595 0.027116 0.032745 0.039578 0.048584
2024-11-24 0.014872 0.018079 0.021947 0.026995 0.033473 0.041592 0.052671
2024-12-01 0.013821 0.017119 0.021185 0.026623 0.033788 0.043024 0.056027
2024-12-08 0.013107 0.016516 0.020808 0.026676 0.034603 0.045099 0.060317
2024-12-15 0.012319 0.015759 0.020169 0.026319 0.034812 0.046327 0.063478
2024-12-22 0.011559 0.014987 0.019454 0.025797 0.034733 0.047117 0.066022
2024-12-29 0.010981 0.014422 0.018976 0.025555 0.035004 0.048382 0.069302
2025-01-05 0.010453 0.013893 0.018513 0.025295 0.035215 0.049545 0.072477
2025-01-12 0.009869 0.013257 0.017865 0.024729 0.034934 0.049945 0.074476
2025-01-19 0.009582 0.013024 0.017775 0.024967 0.035859 0.052215 0.079594
2025-01-26 0.009243 0.012701 0.017539 0.024972 0.036426 0.053963 0.083994
2025-02-02 0.009017 0.012529 0.017507 0.025275 0.037458 0.056485 0.089842
2025-02-09 0.008638 0.012114 0.017099 0.024980 0.037528 0.057466 0.093138
2025-02-16 0.008336 0.011799 0.016823 0.024870 0.037877 0.058906 0.097316
2025-02-23 0.007993 0.011410 0.016417 0.024532 0.037833 0.059682 0.100354
2025-03-02 0.007772 0.011193 0.016262 0.024581 0.038419 0.061541 0.105478
2025-03-09 0.007472 0.010843 0.015887 0.024257 0.038360 0.062280 0.108570
2025-03-16 0.007153 0.010453 0.015434 0.023783 0.038018 0.062499 0.110681
2025-03-23 0.006912 0.010175 0.015145 0.023563 0.038098 0.063460 0.114280
2025-03-30 0.006680 0.009903 0.014855 0.023326 0.038132 0.064336 0.117764